LoL Draft Value Bot observe/paper only

updated 2026-06-03T22:21:50Z
modepaper
markets2785
eligible shown17
tracked1
live now0
watching3
scan sec20
draftgap pnl$-15.44
own pnl$-8.92
open paper0
take profit hits0
draftgaploaded
own data172 champs

Live Readiness

NOT LIVE READYresearch/data-collection mode; live execution remains blocked
GateStatusValueRequired
live_trading_enabledfailFalsemanual switch is still required
min_resolved_samplefail16300
positive_roi_after_spreadpass0.11060.03
positive_clvpasspositive_clv_rate=0.9215 over 866 resultsTrue
model_version_frozenfailresearch_models_unfrozen
manual_enable_requiredfailnot_requested

Live / Betting Soon / Now

MatchGameMarketOddsDraftModelsShadowPaper
no in-progress matched LoL market on the live feed right now

Watching

MatchGameMarketOddsDraftModelsShadowPaper
LES
Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club		G1
unstarted - waiting_for_game
feed: not probed		LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner
lol-koia-ucam1-2026-06-04-game1		⁠Movistar KOI Fénix: bid 52.0% / ask 60.0%
UCAM Esports Club: bid 40.0% / ask 48.0%		waitingno_matching_locked_draft
agree: 		waitingnone
LES
Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club		G2
unstarted - waiting_for_game
feed: not probed		LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner
lol-koia-ucam1-2026-06-04-game2		⁠Movistar KOI Fénix: bid 53.0% / ask 60.0%
UCAM Esports Club: bid 40.0% / ask 47.0%		waitingno_matching_locked_draft
agree: 		waitingnone
LES
Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club		G3
unstarted - waiting_for_game
feed: not probed		LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner
lol-koia-ucam1-2026-06-04-game3		⁠Movistar KOI Fénix: bid 53.0% / ask 60.0%
UCAM Esports Club: bid 40.0% / ask 47.0%		waitingno_matching_locked_draft
agree: 		waitingnone

Tracked Matchups

LeagueStartFeed TeamsFeed GamesPolymarket Games
LES
116295727286716929		2026-06-04T15:00:00Z
unstarted		Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports ClubG1: unstarted | G2: unstarted | G3: unstarted | G4: unstarted | G5: unstartedG1: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix 60.0% / UCAM Esports Club 48.0% lol-koia-ucam1-2026-06-04-game1
G2: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix 60.0% / UCAM Esports Club 47.0% lol-koia-ucam1-2026-06-04-game2
G3: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix 60.0% / UCAM Esports Club 47.0% lol-koia-ucam1-2026-06-04-game3

Market Skip Reasons

ambiguous_teams2165
ambiguous_game_number291
series_or_tournament_market155
market_closed111
spread_too_wide41
not_lol5

Signal Skip Reasons

no_matching_locked_draft17

Paper Positions

ModelTeamStatusEntryMarkPnLSharesNotionalOpened
draftgap_styleAnyone's Legendresolved46.0%n/a$-5.0010.86$5.002026-06-01T10:25:43Z
ownXi'an Team WEresolved43.0%99.9%$6.6211.62$5.002026-06-01T11:09:50Z
draftgap_styleXi'an Team WEresolved43.0%99.9%$6.6211.62$5.002026-06-01T11:09:50Z
ownKarmine Corpresolved74.0%99.9%$1.756.75$5.002026-06-01T15:09:03Z
draftgap_styleGIANTXresolved27.0%3.0%$-5.0018.51$5.002026-06-01T15:09:03Z
ownGIANTXresolved30.0%1.0%$-5.0016.66$5.002026-06-01T16:07:02Z
draftgap_styleGIANTXresolved30.0%1.0%$-5.0016.66$5.002026-06-01T16:07:02Z
ownGIANTXresolved30.0%1.0%$-5.0016.66$5.002026-06-01T16:57:25Z
draftgap_styleKarmine Corpresolved71.0%99.9%$2.047.04$5.002026-06-01T16:57:25Z
ownKaBuM! Eportsresolved43.0%99.9%$6.6211.62$5.002026-06-01T20:21:40Z
draftgap_styleKaBuM! Eportsresolved43.0%99.9%$6.6211.62$5.002026-06-01T20:21:40Z
ownVivo Keyd Stars Academyresolved59.0%99.9%$3.478.47$5.002026-06-01T21:17:50Z
draftgap_styleVivo Keyd Stars Academyresolved59.0%99.9%$3.478.47$5.002026-06-01T21:17:50Z
ownVivo Keyd Stars Academyresolved50.0%5.0%$-5.0010.0$5.002026-06-01T22:08:25Z
draftgap_styleVivo Keyd Stars Academyresolved50.0%5.0%$-5.0010.0$5.002026-06-01T22:08:25Z
ownKaBuM! Eportsresolved65.0%7.0%$-5.007.69$5.002026-06-01T23:02:54Z
draftgap_styleKaBuM! Eportsresolved65.0%7.0%$-5.007.69$5.002026-06-01T23:02:54Z
ownTHUNDER TALK GAMINGresolved48.0%1.2%$-5.0010.41$5.002026-06-02T10:06:02Z
draftgap_styleTHUNDER TALK GAMINGresolved48.0%1.2%$-5.0010.41$5.002026-06-02T10:06:02Z
ownTHUNDER TALK GAMINGresolved47.0%99.9%$5.6310.63$5.002026-06-02T11:02:30Z
draftgap_styleTHUNDER TALK GAMINGresolved47.0%99.9%$5.6310.63$5.002026-06-02T11:02:30Z
ownTHUNDER TALK GAMINGresolved57.0%99.9%$3.778.77$5.002026-06-02T11:56:56Z
draftgap_styleLGD GAMINGresolved44.0%1.0%$-5.0011.36$5.002026-06-02T11:56:56Z
ownNightBirdsresolved79.0%99.9%$1.336.32$4.992026-06-02T14:10:38Z
draftgap_styleNightBirdsresolved79.0%99.9%$1.336.32$4.992026-06-02T14:10:38Z
owneSubaresolved23.0%0.1%$-5.0021.73$5.002026-06-02T15:05:54Z
draftgap_styleNightBirdsresolved84.0%99.9%$0.955.95$5.002026-06-02T15:05:54Z
owneSubaresolved16.0%1.0%$-5.0031.25$5.002026-06-02T15:52:09Z
draftgap_styleeSubaresolved16.0%1.0%$-5.0031.25$5.002026-06-02T15:52:09Z
ownThe Banditsresolved52.0%99.0%$4.619.61$5.002026-06-02T16:07:33Z
draftgap_styleThe Banditsresolved52.0%99.0%$4.619.61$5.002026-06-02T16:07:33Z
ownThe Banditsresolved60.0%99.0%$3.338.33$5.002026-06-02T17:03:24Z
draftgap_stylemCon Esportsresolved41.0%6.0%$-5.0012.19$5.002026-06-02T17:03:24Z
ownThe Banditsresolved62.0%17.0%$-5.008.06$5.002026-06-02T17:56:43Z
draftgap_stylemCon Esportsresolved39.0%99.9%$7.8212.82$5.002026-06-02T17:56:43Z
ownThe Banditsresolved55.0%5.0%$-5.009.09$5.002026-06-02T18:52:52Z
draftgap_styleThe Banditsresolved55.0%5.0%$-5.009.09$5.002026-06-02T18:52:52Z
ownBublikiresolved55.0%3.0%$-5.009.09$5.002026-06-02T20:32:43Z
draftgap_styleCrusadersresolved49.0%99.9%$5.2010.2$5.002026-06-02T20:32:44Z
ownBILIBILI GAMINGresolved89.0%99.9%$0.625.61$4.992026-06-03T10:12:11Z
draftgap_styleBILIBILI GAMINGresolved89.0%99.9%$0.625.61$4.992026-06-03T10:12:11Z
ownNew Metaresolved59.0%99.9%$3.478.47$5.002026-06-03T10:20:49Z
draftgap_styleNew Metaresolved59.0%99.9%$3.478.47$5.002026-06-03T10:20:49Z
ownBILIBILI GAMINGresolved89.0%99.9%$0.625.61$4.992026-06-03T11:06:18Z
draftgap_styleEDWARD GAMINGresolved13.0%1.0%$-5.0038.46$5.002026-06-03T11:06:18Z
ownHeretics Academyresolved72.0%73.0%$1.946.94$5.002026-06-03T15:15:36Z
draftgap_styleHeretics Academyresolved72.0%73.0%$1.946.94$5.002026-06-03T15:15:37Z
ownBarça Esportsresolved22.0%30.0%$-5.0022.72$5.002026-06-03T15:59:02Z
draftgap_styleBarça Esportsresolved22.0%30.0%$-5.0022.72$5.002026-06-03T15:59:02Z
ownGalionsresolved17.0%22.0%$-5.0029.41$5.002026-06-03T16:16:27Z
draftgap_styleSolaryresolved88.0%99.9%$0.685.68$5.002026-06-03T16:16:27Z
ownBarça Esportsresolved27.0%99.9%$13.5118.51$5.002026-06-03T16:52:08Z
draftgap_styleBarça Esportsresolved27.0%99.9%$13.5118.51$5.002026-06-03T16:52:08Z
ownSolaryresolved66.0%99.9%$2.577.57$5.002026-06-03T16:59:06Z
draftgap_styleGalionsresolved36.0%9.0%$-5.0013.88$5.002026-06-03T16:59:06Z
ownHeretics Academyresolved81.0%99.9%$1.176.17$5.002026-06-03T17:45:51Z
draftgap_styleBarça Esportsresolved21.0%1.0%$-5.0023.8$5.002026-06-03T17:45:51Z
ownSolaryresolved67.0%6.0%$-5.007.46$5.002026-06-03T17:55:34Z
draftgap_styleSolaryresolved67.0%6.0%$-5.007.46$5.002026-06-03T17:55:34Z
ownGalionsresolved41.0%39.0%$-5.0012.19$5.002026-06-03T18:45:41Z
draftgap_styleGalionsresolved41.0%39.0%$-5.0012.19$5.002026-06-03T18:45:42Z

Paper Model Stats

ModelEntriesOpenResolvedWinsLossesPnL
draftgap_style310311516$-15.44
own300301614$-8.92

Shadow Model Leaderboard

ModelPolicyResolvedW/LPnLAvg ROI
draftgap_ignore_champion_winratesown_and_draftgap_agree169 / 7$8.8311.1%
own_draft_onlyunderdog_only_any_edge146 / 8$8.6412.3%
draftgap_styleclosing_line_value_tracker11 / 0$6.62132.6%
draftgap_stylemodel_disagreement_tracker11 / 0$6.62132.6%
draftgap_stylemodel_favorite_any_price11 / 0$6.62132.6%
draftgap_styleodds_aware_value_edge_3pct11 / 0$6.62132.6%
draftgap_styleodds_aware_value_edge_5pct11 / 0$6.62132.6%
draftgap_styleodds_aware_value_edge_8pct11 / 0$6.62132.6%
draftgap_styleown_and_draftgap_agree11 / 0$6.62132.6%
draftgap_styleunderdog_only_any_edge11 / 0$6.62132.6%
ownclosing_line_value_tracker11 / 0$6.62132.6%
ownmodel_disagreement_tracker11 / 0$6.62132.6%
ownmodel_favorite_any_price11 / 0$6.62132.6%
ownodds_aware_value_edge_3pct11 / 0$6.62132.6%
ownodds_aware_value_edge_5pct11 / 0$6.62132.6%
ownodds_aware_value_edge_8pct11 / 0$6.62132.6%
ownown_and_draftgap_agree11 / 0$6.62132.6%
ownunderdog_only_any_edge11 / 0$6.62132.6%
own_v2_draft_adjustedclosing_line_value_tracker11 / 0$6.62132.6%
own_v2_draft_adjustedmodel_disagreement_tracker11 / 0$6.62132.6%

Benchmark Leaderboard

ModelPolicyResolvedW/LPnLAvg ROI
market_prior_baselineown_and_draftgap_agree2114 / 7$5.705.4%
blue_side_baselinefavorite_only_if_edge11 / 0$5.00100.0%
market_prior_baselineclosing_line_value_tracker3322 / 11$3.422.1%
market_prior_baselinemodel_favorite_any_price3322 / 11$3.422.1%
market_prior_baselinemodel_disagreement_tracker3020 / 10$2.391.6%
random_50_50_baselineclosing_line_value_tracker2516 / 9$2.161.7%
random_50_50_baselinemodel_favorite_any_price2516 / 9$2.161.7%
blue_side_baselinemodel_agreement_only32 / 1$1.046.9%
market_prior_baselinemodel_agreement_only32 / 1$1.046.9%
random_50_50_baselinemodel_agreement_only32 / 1$1.046.9%
random_50_50_baselineunderdog_only_any_edge125 / 7$0.701.2%
random_50_50_baselinemodel_disagreement_tracker2415 / 9$0.220.2%
blue_side_baselineodds_aware_value_edge_5pct124 / 8$-1.76-2.9%
blue_side_baselineown_and_draftgap_agree168 / 8$-3.45-4.3%
random_50_50_baselineodds_aware_value_edge_3pct114 / 7$-4.05-7.4%
random_50_50_baselineodds_aware_value_edge_5pct93 / 6$-4.20-9.3%
random_50_50_baselineown_and_draftgap_agree169 / 7$-5.53-6.9%
blue_side_baselineodds_aware_value_edge_8pct113 / 8$-6.41-11.7%
blue_side_baselineodds_aware_value_edge_3pct134 / 9$-8.18-12.6%
blue_side_baselineunderdog_only_any_edge134 / 9$-8.18-12.6%

Closing Line Value (Shadow)

positive CLV rate: 92.2%computed: 866missing: 1070
ModelPolicyWith CLVAvg CLV (mid)Avg CLV (ask)Positive CLV %
own_draft_onlyclosing_line_value_tracker1526.3%2.4%93.3%
own_draft_onlymodel_favorite_any_price1526.3%2.4%93.3%
own_draft_onlymodel_disagreement_tracker1427.9%3.5%92.9%
draftgap_current_patchclosing_line_value_tracker1426.1%-2.5%92.9%
draftgap_current_patchmodel_favorite_any_price1426.1%-2.5%92.9%
own_v2_pro_baselineclosing_line_value_tracker1425.8%-2.5%92.9%
own_v2_pro_baselinemodel_favorite_any_price1425.8%-2.5%92.9%
own_v2_draft_adjustedclosing_line_value_tracker1425.6%-2.9%92.9%
own_v2_draft_adjustedmodel_favorite_any_price1425.6%-2.9%92.9%
ownclosing_line_value_tracker1425.6%-3.2%92.9%
ownmodel_favorite_any_price1425.6%-3.2%92.9%
draftgap_current_patchmodel_disagreement_tracker1327.8%-1.6%92.3%
own_v2_pro_baselinemodel_disagreement_tracker1327.4%-1.6%92.3%
own_v2_draft_adjustedmodel_disagreement_tracker1327.3%-2.0%92.3%
ownmodel_disagreement_tracker1327.3%-2.3%92.3%
own_team_prior_onlyclosing_line_value_tracker1323.6%-4.8%92.3%
own_team_prior_onlymodel_favorite_any_price1323.6%-4.8%92.3%
draftgap_styleclosing_line_value_tracker1323.5%-4.3%84.6%
draftgap_stylemodel_favorite_any_price1323.5%-4.3%84.6%
own_no_team_priorclosing_line_value_tracker1323.5%-5.5%92.3%
own_no_team_priormodel_favorite_any_price1323.5%-5.5%92.3%
draftgap_ignore_champion_winratesclosing_line_value_tracker1225.5%-1.3%83.3%
draftgap_ignore_champion_winratesmodel_favorite_any_price1225.5%-1.3%83.3%
own_team_prior_onlymodel_disagreement_tracker1225.2%-3.9%91.7%
draftgap_stylemodel_disagreement_tracker1225.1%-3.5%83.3%
own_no_team_priormodel_disagreement_tracker1225.1%-4.7%91.7%
draftgap_high_riskclosing_line_value_tracker1221.0%-6.6%83.3%
draftgap_high_riskmodel_favorite_any_price1221.0%-6.6%83.3%
draftgap_low_riskclosing_line_value_tracker1221.0%-6.6%83.3%
draftgap_low_riskmodel_favorite_any_price1221.0%-6.6%83.3%
draftgap_30_daysclosing_line_value_tracker1219.2%-7.0%75.0%
draftgap_30_daysmodel_favorite_any_price1219.2%-7.0%75.0%
draftgap_ignore_champion_winratesmodel_disagreement_tracker1127.5%-0.3%81.8%
draftgap_high_riskmodel_disagreement_tracker1122.5%-5.9%81.8%
draftgap_low_riskmodel_disagreement_tracker1122.5%-5.9%81.8%
draftgap_30_daysmodel_disagreement_tracker1120.5%-6.2%72.7%
draftgap_current_patchown_and_draftgap_agree927.7%-2.8%100.0%
own_v2_pro_baselineown_and_draftgap_agree926.4%-2.2%88.9%
own_v2_draft_adjustedown_and_draftgap_agree926.3%-2.8%88.9%
draftgap_styleown_and_draftgap_agree926.2%-3.2%88.9%
ownown_and_draftgap_agree926.2%-3.2%88.9%
own_draft_onlyown_and_draftgap_agree925.3%-1.0%88.9%
draftgap_ignore_champion_winratesown_and_draftgap_agree925.1%2.0%77.8%
own_team_prior_onlyown_and_draftgap_agree823.1%-5.7%87.5%
draftgap_high_riskown_and_draftgap_agree822.8%-6.8%87.5%
draftgap_low_riskown_and_draftgap_agree822.8%-6.8%87.5%
own_no_team_priorown_and_draftgap_agree822.8%-6.8%87.5%
draftgap_30_daysown_and_draftgap_agree820.1%-7.4%75.0%
draftgap_ignore_champion_winratesodds_aware_value_edge_5pct740.6%-1.4%100.0%
draftgap_ignore_champion_winratesodds_aware_value_edge_3pct740.3%-1.5%100.0%
draftgap_ignore_champion_winratesunderdog_only_any_edge740.3%-0.6%100.0%
own_draft_onlyunderdog_only_any_edge646.9%4.3%100.0%
own_v2_draft_adjustedodds_aware_value_edge_3pct646.7%-3.6%100.0%
draftgap_current_patchodds_aware_value_edge_3pct642.7%-6.4%100.0%
draftgap_styleodds_aware_value_edge_8pct640.8%-6.9%100.0%
draftgap_styleodds_aware_value_edge_5pct640.2%-7.8%100.0%
draftgap_styleunderdog_only_any_edge640.2%-6.8%100.0%
draftgap_styleodds_aware_value_edge_3pct639.6%-8.0%100.0%
own_draft_onlyodds_aware_value_edge_5pct547.9%-0.3%100.0%
ownodds_aware_value_edge_5pct547.7%-3.4%100.0%
own_v2_draft_adjustedodds_aware_value_edge_8pct547.6%2.1%100.0%
own_v2_pro_baselineodds_aware_value_edge_5pct547.6%1.8%100.0%
ownodds_aware_value_edge_3pct547.5%-3.7%100.0%
own_draft_onlyodds_aware_value_edge_3pct547.5%-0.4%100.0%
ownunderdog_only_any_edge547.1%-2.6%100.0%
own_v2_pro_baselineodds_aware_value_edge_3pct547.0%-2.1%100.0%
own_v2_draft_adjustedodds_aware_value_edge_5pct546.4%-2.0%100.0%
own_v2_draft_adjustedunderdog_only_any_edge546.4%-2.9%100.0%
own_v2_pro_baselineunderdog_only_any_edge546.4%-2.5%100.0%
draftgap_current_patchunderdog_only_any_edge542.6%-8.2%100.0%
draftgap_low_riskodds_aware_value_edge_8pct538.6%-10.8%100.0%
draftgap_high_riskodds_aware_value_edge_8pct538.2%-10.5%100.0%
draftgap_30_daysunderdog_only_any_edge537.6%-9.8%100.0%
draftgap_high_riskodds_aware_value_edge_5pct537.6%-11.4%100.0%
draftgap_high_riskunderdog_only_any_edge537.6%-10.3%100.0%
draftgap_low_riskodds_aware_value_edge_5pct537.6%-11.4%100.0%
draftgap_low_riskunderdog_only_any_edge537.6%-10.3%100.0%
draftgap_ignore_champion_winratesodds_aware_value_edge_8pct537.5%-6.5%100.0%
draftgap_30_daysodds_aware_value_edge_5pct537.4%-10.9%100.0%
draftgap_30_daysodds_aware_value_edge_3pct536.8%-11.0%100.0%
draftgap_high_riskodds_aware_value_edge_3pct536.8%-11.6%100.0%
draftgap_low_riskodds_aware_value_edge_3pct536.8%-11.6%100.0%
ownodds_aware_value_edge_8pct448.4%-5.6%100.0%
own_v2_pro_baselineodds_aware_value_edge_8pct447.8%-1.8%100.0%
own_no_team_priorodds_aware_value_edge_5pct446.2%-7.9%100.0%
own_team_prior_onlyodds_aware_value_edge_5pct446.1%-2.6%100.0%
own_no_team_priorodds_aware_value_edge_3pct446.0%-8.2%100.0%
own_no_team_priorunderdog_only_any_edge445.5%-7.0%100.0%
own_team_prior_onlyodds_aware_value_edge_3pct445.4%-6.4%100.0%
own_team_prior_onlyunderdog_only_any_edge444.6%-6.9%100.0%
own_draft_onlyfavorite_only_if_edge444.2%3.3%100.0%
ownfavorite_only_if_edge443.2%2.8%100.0%
draftgap_current_patchodds_aware_value_edge_5pct443.0%-9.5%100.0%
draftgap_30_daysodds_aware_value_edge_8pct434.5%-13.7%100.0%
own_draft_onlyodds_aware_value_edge_8pct346.7%-8.2%100.0%
own_no_team_priorodds_aware_value_edge_8pct346.7%-10.6%100.0%
own_team_prior_onlyodds_aware_value_edge_8pct345.8%-6.9%100.0%
own_no_team_priorfavorite_only_if_edge342.8%-4.3%100.0%
draftgap_current_patchfavorite_only_if_edge342.0%-9.9%100.0%
draftgap_stylefavorite_only_if_edge341.8%-9.4%100.0%
own_v2_draft_adjustedfavorite_only_if_edge341.3%-10.5%100.0%
draftgap_ignore_champion_winratesfavorite_only_if_edge340.6%-2.8%100.0%
draftgap_current_patchodds_aware_value_edge_8pct340.3%-13.8%100.0%
draftgap_30_daysfavorite_only_if_edge339.5%-10.4%100.0%
draftgap_stylemodel_agreement_only329.2%6.3%100.0%
ownmodel_agreement_only329.2%6.3%100.0%
own_v2_draft_adjustedmodel_agreement_only329.2%6.3%100.0%
own_v2_pro_baselinemodel_agreement_only329.2%6.3%100.0%
draftgap_high_riskfavorite_only_if_edge325.0%-10.1%66.7%
own_v2_pro_baselinefavorite_only_if_edge247.2%48.0%100.0%
draftgap_low_riskfavorite_only_if_edge239.5%-23.9%100.0%
draftgap_30_daysmodel_agreement_only223.0%-5.6%100.0%
draftgap_current_patchmodel_agreement_only223.0%-5.6%100.0%
draftgap_high_riskmodel_agreement_only223.0%-5.6%100.0%
draftgap_ignore_champion_winratesmodel_agreement_only223.0%-5.6%100.0%
draftgap_low_riskmodel_agreement_only223.0%-5.6%100.0%
own_draft_onlymodel_agreement_only223.0%-5.6%100.0%
own_no_team_priormodel_agreement_only223.0%-5.6%100.0%
own_team_prior_onlymodel_agreement_only223.0%-5.6%100.0%
own_team_prior_onlyfavorite_only_if_edge148.0%49.0%100.0%
market_prior_baselineclosing_line_value_tracker141.5%-8.0%100.0%
market_prior_baselinemodel_agreement_only141.5%42.0%100.0%
market_prior_baselinemodel_favorite_any_price141.5%-8.0%100.0%
market_prior_baselineown_and_draftgap_agree141.5%-8.0%100.0%
market_prior_baselinemodel_disagreement_tracker0n/a-57.9%n/a

Model Status

ModelTypePaperTrainedBenchmarkIndependentUses MarketPredsVersionWarning
ownactive_modelTrue0FalseTrueFalse26own_v1_hand_weighted
blue_side_baselinebenchmarkFalse0TrueTrueFalse25blue_side_baseline_v1
champion_meta_2026shadow_onlyFalse0FalseTrueFalse25champion_meta_2026_unavailable
champion_meta_2026_unavailable:2026 champion meta model has not been trained yet
draftgap_30_daysshadow_onlyFalse0FalseTrueFalse25draftgap_30_days_v5
draftgap_current_patchshadow_onlyFalse0FalseTrueFalse25draftgap_current_patch_v5
draftgap_high_riskshadow_onlyFalse0FalseTrueFalse25draftgap_high_risk_v5
draftgap_ignore_champion_winratesshadow_onlyFalse0FalseTrueFalse25draftgap_ignore_champion_winrates_v5
draftgap_low_riskshadow_onlyFalse0FalseTrueFalse25draftgap_low_risk_v5
draftgap_styleactive_modelTrue0FalseTrueFalse26draftgap_style_v5
external_manual_importshadow_onlyFalse0FalseTrueFalse26external_manual_import_v1
external_manual_import_unavailable:no_matching_imported_prediction
market_prior_baselinebenchmarkFalse0TrueFalseTrue26market_prior_baseline_v1
own_draft_onlyshadow_onlyFalse0FalseTrueFalse25own_draft_only_heuristic_v1
own_no_team_priorshadow_onlyFalse0FalseTrueFalse25own_no_team_prior_heuristic_v1
own_team_prior_onlyshadow_onlyFalse0FalseTrueFalse25own_team_prior_only_heuristic_2026-06-01
missing_team_prior_default_used
own_v2_draft_adjustedshadow_onlyFalse1FalseTrueFalse27own_v2_sklearn_logistic_2026_recency
current_patch_not_in_training_patch_range
own_v2_pro_baselineshadow_onlyFalse0FalseTrueFalse26own_v2_pro_baseline_heuristic_2026-06-01
missing_team_prior_default_used
player_champion_comfort_2026shadow_onlyFalse0FalseTrueFalse25player_champion_comfort_2026_unavailable
player_champion_comfort_2026_unavailable:2026 player-champion comfort model has not been trained yet
random_50_50_baselinebenchmarkFalse0TrueTrueFalse25random_50_50_baseline_v1
team_elo_2026shadow_onlyFalse0FalseTrueFalse25team_elo_2026_unavailable
team_elo_2026_unavailable:2026 team Elo model has not been trained yet

Historical Training Status

2026 only2026 - 2026
unified dataset rows5422
own_v2 trainedTrue
training statustrained
rows usable3795
rows rejected
message

Research Settlement Status

unresolved_shadow_conditions0
settled_shadow_conditions0
shadow_results_pending0
shadow_results_resolved2332
settlement_fetch_errors0

Data Health

modelsblue_side_baseline, champion_meta_2026, draftgap_30_days, draftgap_current_patch, draftgap_high_risk, draftgap_ignore_champion_winrates, draftgap_low_risk, draftgap_style, external_manual_import, market_prior_baseline, own_draft_only, own_no_team_prior, own_team_prior_only, own_v2_draft_adjusted, own_v2_pro_baseline, player_champion_comfort_2026, random_50_50_baseline, team_elo_2026
research sqlite/home/botuser/polymarket-bot/lol_draft_value_bot/data/research/lol_draft_research.sqlite
predictions482
shadow entries2332
shadow results2332
alias suggestions3
feed counters{'schedule_fetch_ok': 1, 'event_details_fetch_ok': 7, 'completed_skipped': 16, 'unneeded_skipped': 4, 'unstarted_skipped': 11}

Eligible Markets

MarketEligibleSkipTeamsGameOutcomes
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner
0x700402e5952a00bc685485ee5cfa032ed60cdc29d6e32377309aa381ddfe631d		yes⁠Movistar KOI Fénix, UCAM Esports Club1⁠Movistar KOI Fénix: bid 52.0% / ask 60.0% / depth 1273.0 | UCAM Esports Club: bid 40.0% / ask 48.0% / depth 1515.0
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner
0x2f6cba61e46656513e6ccc2ba52f73f3df9d7de95a4d3ac3359d8b90648483c0		yes⁠Movistar KOI Fénix, UCAM Esports Club2⁠Movistar KOI Fénix: bid 53.0% / ask 60.0% / depth 1198.0 | UCAM Esports Club: bid 40.0% / ask 47.0% / depth 244.39
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner
0x875b62aff826918b6ee454b45f806e0e1b489cda5136097c8bbc488445d68e5c		yes⁠Movistar KOI Fénix, UCAM Esports Club3⁠Movistar KOI Fénix: bid 53.0% / ask 60.0% / depth 1227.0 | UCAM Esports Club: bid 40.0% / ask 47.0% / depth 325.0
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner
0x6dbce52805ac959c82572e2a0c39ba5bc6efc32f053a7b285149936f3576344c		yesWinthrop University, CCG Esports1Winthrop University: bid 46.0% / ask 49.0% / depth 164.14 | CCG Esports: bid 51.0% / ask 54.0% / depth 70.0
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner
0x92ec7246af06dd55adb4365c3597802ac380c1c7715a45f26103a008134f3b98		yesWinthrop University, CCG Esports2Winthrop University: bid 47.0% / ask 50.0% / depth 124.14 | CCG Esports: bid 50.0% / ask 53.0% / depth 108.6
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 3 Winner
0xd98ffc2a270683895b77747933fc90abaeabb53d15acd6c02b3580dd65441c69		yesWinthrop University, CCG Esports3Winthrop University: bid 46.0% / ask 49.0% / depth 234.14 | CCG Esports: bid 51.0% / ask 54.0% / depth 329.91999999999996
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner
0x28e975cc5100efa68f35320d46dc6cc8e947b85dc416d07571a20dbc0e14d81b		yesDplus KIA, HANJIN BRION1Dplus KIA: bid 63.0% / ask 67.0% / depth 638.0 | HANJIN BRION: bid 33.0% / ask 37.0% / depth 6262.59
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
0x5ec8e83ef4f8d1cb1a16246f12657a2d7898f0f81686634c410cf3d1a92655bb		yesDplus KIA, HANJIN BRION2Dplus KIA: bid 63.0% / ask 67.0% / depth 310.0 | HANJIN BRION: bid 33.0% / ask 37.0% / depth 6045.0
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner
0xa7e3cf030c090c782f657b86b1f3dbeb078783bd1f5e3cd07b13f4a4e1e3ef32		yesDplus KIA, HANJIN BRION3Dplus KIA: bid 63.0% / ask 66.0% / depth 928.0 | HANJIN BRION: bid 34.0% / ask 37.0% / depth 795.0
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner
0xd235a2a372c0fbfa503f80cb405aeb8590d4174a52d86d75e627ca7e997a200b		yesTop Esports, Team WE3Top Esports: bid 60.0% / ask 63.0% / depth 698.9300000000001 | Team WE: bid 37.0% / ask 40.0% / depth 582.62
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner
0x437ea9bd413f935b4902ee9fcedc3303a743d3813f56b2539b6343bffa2e6526		yesMovistar KOI, Karmine Corp1Movistar KOI: bid 38.0% / ask 44.0% / depth 218.0 | Karmine Corp: bid 56.0% / ask 62.0% / depth 155.0
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
0xaf3ad1ff6b88d3193191b34f2ec5bd31bcd8ba54b50f2ea8757c6c68485058eb		yesAnyone's Legend, LGD Gaming1Anyone's Legend: bid 76.0% / ask 77.0% / depth 6602.45 | LGD Gaming: bid 23.0% / ask 24.0% / depth 1363.0
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
0xafd6ad3ff2086c169b81de0246539d2011e4dd46c407f18fb8a283c6a77b7f82		yesAnyone's Legend, LGD Gaming2Anyone's Legend: bid 74.0% / ask 77.0% / depth 417.67 | LGD Gaming: bid 23.0% / ask 26.0% / depth 1527.62
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
0x8a7ddbb524524bacbce32f21db8c284509b0909fe9fc44b43df07f1a4c7da006		yesAnyone's Legend, LGD Gaming3Anyone's Legend: bid 74.0% / ask 75.0% / depth 689.0 | LGD Gaming: bid 25.0% / ask 26.0% / depth 1627.6
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner
0x286cedbbef335747b5f1f5937d8ee5624b9cae1d063d240daa2e9c68d194358a		yesAnyone's Legend, LGD Gaming4Anyone's Legend: bid 67.0% / ask 70.0% / depth 1182.69 | LGD Gaming: bid 30.0% / ask 33.0% / depth 8204.95
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
0x39b1dfb88a9fd6a90b54945ef760261966e4b7d96f9c5b18afa7a08bd95c01c0		yesJD Gaming, Bilibili Gaming1JD Gaming: bid 36.0% / ask 40.0% / depth 902.4 | Bilibili Gaming: bid 60.0% / ask 64.0% / depth 1048.81
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner
0x78b1d80307c410c0dcb22ec5e06187f8d8c2b24cbcf7467f88a247c00733712d		yesJD Gaming, Bilibili Gaming3JD Gaming: bid 36.0% / ask 39.0% / depth 1068.67 | Bilibili Gaming: bid 61.0% / ask 64.0% / depth 798.81